Archive for the ‘polls’ Category

Most Americans Believe Obama Will Fix Economy

November 11, 2008

In one of the economy’s darkest hours in decades, it looks as if people are taking Barack Obama up on his exhortations for hope and change.

Seven in 10, or 72 percent, voice confidence the president-elect will make the changes needed to revive the stalling economy, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll released Tuesday. Underscoring how widely the public is counting on its new leader, 44 percent of Republicans joined nearly all Democrats and most independents in expressing that belief.

Associated Press

The poll shows that faith in Obama is even broader, at least for now. Sixty-eight percent said they think that when he takes office in January, the new president will be able to enact the policies he pushed during his presidential campaign.

People signaled a willingness to wait on one of the keynote items of his agenda — tax cuts. Only about one in three, or 36 percent, said they wanted Obama to make income-tax cuts a top priority when he takes office, and even fewer wanted higher taxes on the rich to be a primary goal.

Instead, 84 percent said strengthening the economy should be a top-tier priority. Eighty percent also named creating jobs as a No. 1 order of business.

Majorities in both parties said those issues should be top priorities, though Democrats were a bit likelier than Republicans to say so.

With Obama ending the GOP‘s eight-year hold on the White House under President Bush and about to become the first black president, the AP-GfK poll showed three quarters saying the election made them feel hopeful, six in 10 feeling proud and half expressing excitement.

Read the rest:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081111/ap_on_el_pr/ap_poll_obama;_ylt=AjMe_qSqvDLMn_4ni6BOWMSs0NUE

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London Newspaper: Barack Obama asks voters to help ‘change the world’

November 4, 2008

The Democrat, who is on the verge of becoming the first black president of the US, stormed through Florida, North Carolina and Virginia – three states he is bidding to wrench from the Republicans – on the final day of his dramatic battle against John McCain.

Barack Obama has declared he is 'feeling good' as polling day closes in

From The Telegraph (UK)

“Virginia, let’s go change the world,” Mr Obama told more than 90,000 people at the end of his closing rally in Manassas.

“Fired up?” he demanded to know of the sea of supporters. “Ready to go!” they responded in a deafening roar.

But if the polls are correct and Mr Obama triumphs against McCain on Tuesday, the Democrat’s white grandmother Madelyn Dunham will not be there to see it.

The last survivor of the family that raised him died on Monday aged 86.

Mr Obama said the “unlikely journey” that started out 21 months ago was now on the cusp of remaking the stricken US economy, end the war in Iraq, take the fight to al-Qaeda in Afghanistan and restore the nation’s global leadership.

“That’s how we’re going to change this country, because of you,” he told the vast crowd, while urging his supporters on the campaign’s climax not to “slow down or sit back or let up, not for one hour, not for one second.”

Read the rest and see the video:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/uselection
2008/barackobama/3376437/Barack-Obama-asks-vot
ers-to-help-change-the-world-at-final-campaign-ra
lly.html

Dirty Tricks That Confound Voters

November 3, 2008

In the hours before Election Day, as inevitable as winter, comes an onslaught of dirty tricks — confusing e-mails, disturbing phone calls and insinuating fliers left on doorsteps during the night.

By Deborah Hastings
Associated Press

The intent, almost always, is to keep folks from voting or to confuse them, usually through intimidation or misinformation. But in this presidential race, in which a black man leads most polls, some of the deceit has a decidedly racist bent.

Complaints have surfaced in predominantly African-American neighborhoods of Philadelphia where fliers have circulated, warning voters they could be arrested at the polls if they had unpaid parking tickets or if they had criminal convictions.
Over the weekend in Virginia, bogus fliers with an authentic-looking commonwealth seal said fears of high voter turnout had prompted election officials to hold two elections — one on Tuesday for Republicans and another on Wednesday for Democrats.
In New Mexico, two Hispanic women filed a lawsuit last week claiming they were harassed by a private investigator working for a Republican lawyer who came to their homes and threatened to call immigration authorities, even though they are U.S. citizens.
“He was questioning her status, saying that he needed to see her papers and documents to show that she was a U.S. citizen and was a legitimate voter,” said Guadalupe Bojorquez, speaking on behalf of her mother, Dora Escobedo, a 67-year-old Albuquerque resident who speaks only Spanish. “He totally, totally scared the heck out of her.”

Read the rest:
http://news.aol.com/elections/article/some-voters-hit-with-
dirty-tricks/235328?icid=100214839x1212694777x1200806876

Russian Opinion Polls Say Medvedev, Putin Drop

November 3, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – Support for Dmitry Medvedev fell slightly in Russia, according to a poll by the Yury Levada Analytical Center. 76 per cent of respondents approve of their president’s performance, down seven points since September.

In addition, 83 per cent of respondents approve of the way Russian prime minister Vladimir Putin is handling his job, down five points in a month.

Russian voters renewed the State Duma in December 2007. United Russia (YR)—whose candidate list was headed by Putin—secured 64.1 per cent of the vote and 315 of the legislature’s 450 seats. On that same month, Putin endorsed Dmitry Medvedev as a presidential candidate, and Medvedev said it would be of the “utmost importance” to have Putin as prime minister.

Russia's President Dmitry Medvedev speaks in his video blog ... 
Russia’s President Dmitry Medvedev speaks in his video blog about the main topics of his state of the nation address, at Gorki residence outside Moscow, November 2, 2008.(RIA Novosti/Kremlin/Mikhail Klimentyev/Reuters)

In March, Medvedev easily won Russia’s presidential election with 70.28 per cent of the vote. In May, Medvedev was sworn in as president. His nomination of Putin as prime minister was confirmed by the State Duma in a 392-56 vote.

On Oct. 27, Putin announced that Russia has no plans to isolate its economy from the rest of the world as a reaction to the global financial crisis, adding “Of course we must take today’s realities into account, but strategically, isolationism is not our choice. Our choice is building Russia further into the global economy. (…) We advocate consistently removing barriers to foreign trade and forming transparent rules of the game in the world economy and finance.”

Read the rest and see complete poll results:
http://www.angu
s-reid.com/polls/view/medvedev_
putin_drop_slightly_in_russia/

******************

Medvedev To Give “State of the Nation”

By Guy Faulconbridge, Reuters

The world financial crisis and the consequences of the war in Georgia will be the main topics of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev‘s first state of the nation speech this week, the Kremlin chief said on Sunday.

Speaking in a video blog posted on the http://www.kremlin.ru website, Medvedev said he would deliver the speech — a closely watched overview of Kremlin policy — on Wednesday.

“The crisis started in one of the biggest countries, the United States of America, and has unfortunately spread over the whole planet and every country is having to search for answers to it,” Medvedev said in the blog.

Russian equity and bond markets have tumbled over the past three months as investors dumped Russian assets on concerns the credit crisis could stall a 10-year economic boom and undermine economic stability.

Russian officials say there will be no rouble devaluation and that the state’s bailout packages will calm markets and help indebted Russian companies refinance their debts.

But investors are looking carefully to see what Medvedev will say about measures to tackle the crisis, which has hammered confidence in the domestic banking system and raised fears of nationalizations.

“Medvedev will certainly seek to deliver a message of calm for the domestic markets and to boost public confidence in both the rouble and the country’s banking system,” said Chris Weafer, a strategist at UralSib investment bank in Moscow.

“These are the two biggest priorities for his government right now,” Weafer said.

GEORGIA

Medvedev said a major part of the speech would address the consequences of the war in Georgia, which is seen by Kremlin officials as a turning point for relations with the West.

Read the rest:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20081102/wl_
nm/us_russia_medvedev_1

McCain “Within Margin of Error” (Zogby: November 1)

November 1, 2008

Republican John McCain made a small gain against Democrat Barack Obama and has pulled back within the margin of error, now trailing Obama by five points, 49.1% to 44.1%, the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll shows.

Almost two days worth of the polling — or about half of the current sample in the three-day rolling poll of likely voters nationwide, was conducted after Obama’s 30-minute commercial aired Wednesday evening. There is no evidence it helped him, as he has dropped 1.1 points in the last two days, while McCain has gained 0.8 points during the same period.

Pollster John Zogby: “Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%. He is beginning to cut into Obama’s lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all. “Obama’s lead among women declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we saw last time McCain picked up in the polls. If McCain has a good day tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama’s good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now, hold on.”

Read it all and see the charts:
http://www.zogby.com/main.htm

U.S. Republican presidential nominee Senator John McCain listens ... 
U.S. Republican presidential nominee Senator John McCain listens to his wife Cindy (L) at a campaign rally in Hanoverton, Ohio October 31, 2008. REUTERS/Brian Snyder

Growing Doubts on Palin Take a Toll, Poll Finds

October 31, 2008

A  growing number of voters have concluded that Senator John McCain’s running mate, Gov. Sarah Palin of Alaska, is not qualified to be vice president, weighing down the Republican ticket in the last days of the campaign, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.

By Michael Cooper and Dalia Sussman
The New York Times
.
All told, 59 percent of voters surveyed said Ms. Palin was not prepared for the job, up nine percentage points since the beginning of the month. Nearly a third of voters polled said the vice-presidential selection would be a major factor influencing their vote for president, and those voters broadly favor Senator Barack Obama, the Democratic nominee.

And in a possible indication that the choice of Ms. Palin has hurt Mr. McCain’s image, voters said they had much more confidence in Mr. Obama to pick qualified people for his administration than they did in Mr. McCain.

Republican vice-presidential nominee Alaska Governor Sarah Palin ... 
Republican vice-presidential nominee Alaska Governor Sarah Palin and Republican presidential nominee Senator John McCain stand onstage together at a campaign rally in Hershey, Pennsylvania October 28, 2008.(Brian Snyder/Reuters)

After nearly two years of campaigning, a pair of hotly contested nominating battles, a series of debates and an avalanche of advertisements, the nationwide poll found the contours of the race hardening in the last days before the election on Tuesday. Twelve percent of the voters surveyed said they had already voted. These were among the findings:

Mr. Obama is maintaining his lead, with 51 percent of likely voters supporting him and 40 percent supporting Mr. McCain in a head-to-head matchup.

Some perceptions of race are changing, with a marked increase in the number of people who say they believe that white and black people have an equal chance of getting ahead in America today.

Mr. McCain’s focus on taxes, including his talk about Joe the Plumber, seems to be having some effect, as a growing number of voters now say Mr. McCain would not raise their taxes.

Eighty-nine percent of people view the economy negatively, and 85 percent think the country is on the wrong track.

Mr. Obama continues to have a significant advantage on key issues like the economy, health care and the war in Iraq.

The survey found that opinions of Mr. Obama and Mr. McCain had hardened considerably, as 9 out of 10 voters who said they had settled on a candidate said their minds were made up, and a growing number of them called it “extremely important” that their candidate win the election. Roughly half of each candidate’s supporters said they were “scared” of what the other candidate would do if elected. Just 4 percent of voters were undecided, and when they were pressed to say whom they leaned toward, the shape of the race remained essentially the same.

Read the rest
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/31/us/politics/
31poll.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin

Rasmussen Poll: Obama 50% McCain 47%; October 29, 2008

October 29, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote nationwide while John McCain earns 47%. This is the first time McCain has been within three points of Obama in more than a month and the first time his support has topped 46% since September 24 (see trends). One percent (1%) of voters prefer a third-party option and 2% are undecided.

Tracking Poll results are released every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern and a FREE daily e-mail update is available.

Among those who “always” vote in general elections, Obama leads by just a single point. Obama does better among more casual voters. However, among those with a high degree of interest in this year’s campaign, Obama leads by four. Among those who say they are following the race closely on a daily basis, Obama leads by five.

Among those who have already voted, it’s Obama 54% McCain 45% with other candidates picking up a single percentage point.

As for those who have not yet voted but are “certain” they will do so, the race is tied at 48%. Two percent (2%) of these “certain” voters plan to vote for a third party option while 2% say they are undecided.

Obama has a five-point advantage among those who plan to vote but say that something might come up. Hispanic voters are more likely than others to say that something might come up to prevent them from voting.

Prior to today’s update, Obama had been ahead by four-to-eight points every single day for 33 straight days. During that 33-day stretch, Obama’s voter support had stayed between 50% and 52% every day while McCain was in the 44% to 46% range. It will take another day or so to determine whether today’s numbers reflect a lasting change or statistical noise. Two of the last three nights of polling show a closer race than was found in the previous month.

Obama is now viewed favorably by 55% of voters nationwide, McCain by 54% (see trends).

State polling released yesterday showed Obama leading in Nevada and Pennsylvania while McCain had the advantage in Arkansas and Mississippi. Earlier this week, state polls were released for Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Missouri, North Carolina, and Arizona. Rasmussen Reports

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082
/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

AP Poll: Obama leads or tied in 8 crucial states

October 29, 2008

Barack Obama now leads in four states won by President Bush in 2004 and is essentially tied with John McCain in two other Republican red states, according to new AP-GfK battleground polling.

The results help explain why the Democrat is pressing his money and manpower advantages in a slew of traditionally GOP states, hoping not just for a win but a transcendent victory that remakes the nation’s political map. McCain is scrambling to defend states where he wouldn’t even be campaigning if the race were closer.

BY Ron Fournier And Trevor Tompson, Associated Press Writers

Less than a week before Election Day, the AP-GfK polls show Obama winning among early voters, favored on almost every issue, benefiting from the country’s sour mood and widely viewed as the winning candidate by voters in eight crucial states — Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia.

“If you believe in miracles,” said GOP consultant Joe Gaylord of Arlington, Va., “you still believe in McCain.”

Despite a mounting chorus of Republicans predicting their nominee’s demise, McCain aides insist their internal surveys show victory is still within reach.

Indeed, polls are mere snapshots of highly fluid campaigns, and this race has been unusually volatile. McCain was written off prematurely last year, and Obama seemed poised for victory in New Hampshire’s Democratic primary just before Hillary Rodham Clinton thumped him.

Even this close to Election Day, racial tensions and….

Read the rest:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081
029/ap_on_el_pr/ap_poll_battlegrounds
;_ylt=Av_BP34jTqatIKIPzEDcUIys0NUE

McCain says pundits being fooled, promises victory

October 28, 2008

Republican John McCain and running mate Sarah Palin told a Pennsylvania audience Tuesday that “it’s wonderful to fool the pundits” and vowed to pull out an upset win over Democratic rival Barack Obama.

“I’m not afraid of the fight, I’m ready for it,” said McCain, continuing his sharp assault on Obama in a noisy rally opening his campaign day.

By MIKE GLOVER, Associated Press Writer

Palin defended the campaign’s harsh attacks on Obama.

“Our opponent is not being candid with you about his tax plans,” said Palin. “It is not mean-spirited, and it is not negative campaigning to call out someone on their record.”

The rally was interrupted briefly by Obama backers waving signs, a move Palin dismissed.

“When we get a protest like that I’m always tempted to tell security, `let them stay, maybe they’ll learn a thing or two,'” said Palin.

The campaign day was complicated by wintry weather, which forced the cancellation of an outdoor event in Quakertown. McCain was heading to North Carolina and Florida before the day was over. Palin was heading on her own to other events in Pennsylvania after the rally in Hershey.

Sagging in polls nationally and in battleground states, McCain worked to light a fire under his supporters.

“Nothing is inevitable, we never give up,” said McCain. “Let’s go win this election and get this country moving again.”

Read the rest:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081028/ap_on_el_pr/mccain;_ylt
=AjqgUM2uuCS0Bi4rYb5ndc.s0NUE

Obama 49.0%, McCain 44.7% Says Zogby October 28; Rasmussen Says Little Change in Swing States

October 28, 2008

UTICA, New York – The race for President of the United States continued to tighten, as both Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain lost ground in a contest that is now a four–point game, the latest Reuters/C–SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone poll shows.

Obama lost 0.9 points and now stands at 49.0% in the tracking poll, while McCain lost 0.4 points and now stands at 44.7% support in a head–to–head match–up. Another 6.3% said they were undecided, up from 4.9% the day before.

McCain wins 87% of the Republican support, and Obama 84% of the Democratic support, and each candidate wins 11% of the opposing party’s support. Obama continues to lead among independent voters – his advantage now stands at 16 points, 51% to 35%.

McCain leads among men, 48% to 45%, while Obama leads among women by a larger 53% to 42% margin. Among white voters, McCain leads by a 53% to 41% margin. Among Hispanics, Obama leads, 66% to 28%, and among African Americans, Obama wins 88% to McCain’s 9%.

Week Four

Three–Day

Tracking Poll

10–27

Obama

49.0%

McCain

44.7%

Others/Not sure

6.3%

Read the rest:
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1614
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Fox News/Rasmussen Reports polling this week in Colorado, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia shows some modest movement in a few states, but the overall dynamic of the race is little changed and still favors Barack Obama.

In fact, a review of all Fox News/Rasmussen Reports polling conducted in October shows a race that has remained quite stable despite the frenetic pace of campaigning, massive amounts of campaign ads, and daily media coverage of the latest campaign tactic or gaffe.

In Missouri, Obama is up by a single percentage point, 48% to 47%. That’s the strongest showing yet for McCain in polling conducted during October and comes just after his weakest showing of the year when he trailed by five a week ago. However, as we noted at the time, last week’s survey was conducted the day after Obama held two massive rallies in the state. Despite these ups and downs, Obama has held a very slight lead—from one to five points–in all four Fox News/Rasmussen Reports Missouri polls conducted during October.

In Ohio, it’s Obama 49% McCain 45%. That’s an improvement for Obama compared to a week ago when McCain led by two. In the Buckeye State, Obama’s support has been between 47% and 49% in each of the past five weekly Fox News/Rasmussen Reports polls. This is the first time that McCain’s support has fallen below the 47% level since weekly polling of the state began in early September.

In Florida, Obama is also back on top this week, 51% to 47%. A week ago, the two candidates were essentially even but the current results are very similar to those from polls earlier in October.

In North Carolina, McCain attracts 49% of the vote while Obama earns 48%. This is the third time in four weeks that the candidates have been within a single point of each other. Last week, Obama was up by three.

In Colorado, it’s Obama by four, 50% to 46%. Obama has been at 50% or 51% in each October Fox News/Rasmussen Reports poll of Colorado voters while McCain has been at 45% or 46% each time.

Stability reigns in Virginia as well where Obama leads 51% to 47%. As in Colorado, the results for each candidate have been virtually identical in four consecutive Fox News/Rasmussen Reports polls of Virginia voters.

Read the rest:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politic
s/election_20082/2008_presidential_
election/fox_rasmussen_polling/fox_rasmussen_
swing_state_polling_october_26_2008