Archive for the ‘NBER’ Category

It’s official: US is in recession

December 1, 2008

Just one year ago, people at the White House and thus the rest of the U.S. government, wouldn’t even say the word “recession.”  Well, what a difference a year makes….

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The U.S. economy has been in a recession since December 2007, the National Bureau of Economic Research said Monday.

The NBER — a private, nonprofit research organization — said its group of academic economists who determine business cycles met and decided that the U.S. recession began last December.

By one benchmark, a recession occurs whenever the gross domestic product, the total output of goods and services, declines for two consecutive quarters. The GDP turned negative in the July-September quarter of this year, and many economists believe it is falling in the current quarter at an even sharper rate.

But the NBER’s dating committee uses broader and more precise measures, including employment data. In a news release, the group said its cycle dating committee held a telephone conference call on Friday and made the determination on when the recession began.

The White House commented on the news that a second downturn has officially begun on President George W. Bush‘s watch without ever actually using the word “recession,” a term the president and his aides have repeatedly avoided. Instead, spokesman Tony Fratto remarked upon the fact that NBER “determines the start and end dates of business cycles.”

“What’s important is what is being done about it,” Fratto said. “The most important things we can do for the economy right now are to return the financial and credit markets to normal, and to continue to make progress in housing, and that’s where we’ll continue to focus.”

Euros and US dollar banknotes in a cash register. The euro slipped ...

Read the rest:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081201/ap_on_bi_ge/re
cession;_ylt=Av4rK9gOMufRFmgh8CgxMWms0NUE

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