Archive for the ‘Gallup’ Category

Obama Gaining Among Men, Less Educated – Gallup

October 16, 2008
by Jeffrey M. Jones

PRINCETON, NJ — In the week after the Republican National Convention, John McCain led Barack Obama 47% to 45% among registered voters nationwide. Then the financial crisis emerged as a major issue, and Obama quickly took the lead. In the most recent full week of Gallup Poll Daily tracking data (Oct. 6-12), that lead has expanded to 10 percentage points.


These weekly averages are based on interviews with roughly 6,400 registered voters conducted each Monday through Sunday, compiled from Gallup Poll Daily tracking. These large samples allow for a stable and in-depth look at how voter subgroup preferences have changed.

With only a few exceptions, most voter subgroups have shifted in Obama’s direction since mid-September, about the time that the economic crisis came to dominate the news headlines. The following outlines some of the more notable shifts among voter subgroups.


Women, who had been strong supporters of Obama for much of the campaign, quickly returned to the Democratic fold after they had moved more toward McCain after the Republican convention in early September. Women have supported Obama by an average of 53% to 39% over the last four weeks.

As recently as the week of Sept. 29-Oct. 5, men continued to show a preference for McCain, but in the last week, Obama has gained the lead among men, 49% to 44%. Even with that recent movement among men, the data continue to reflect a gender gap, with women significantly more likely than men to support the Democratic nominee.

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Gallup: Obama Wins on the Economy, McCain on Terrorism

October 14, 2008
by Lydia Saad

PRINCETON, NJ — Barack Obama enjoys a solid advantage over John McCain — 53% to 39% — in U.S. public perceptions of which of the two candidates would better handle the economy as president.


Obama’s current 14-point lead on the economy is better than the 3-point edge he held right after the Republican National Convention in early September (48% to 45%), but is not quite as great as his 19-point margin after the Democratic convention in late August. At that time, 55% preferred him on the issue, compared to 36% choosing McCain.

According to the new USA Today/Gallup poll, conducted Oct. 10-12, most Republicans and Democrats consider their own party’s candidate to be more capable of handling the economy than his opponent. The main problem, electorally, for McCain is that a majority of political independents favor Obama on the issue, while only 32% name McCain.

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