Archive for the ‘endgame’ Category

Is The Maverick a Closer, or a Loser? Is Obama the Messiah? Tuesday We’ll Know!

November 2, 2008

With 48 hours until Election Day, both McCain and Obama camps predict victory but also prepare for a long night.  Many say Barack Obama seems to be the clear winner.  Is Obama the  Messiah?  The Chosen One?  But wait!  The numbers for John McCain are budging and there are still millions of “undecideds.”  Is McCain a closer or a loser? Mickey Mouse and other nuts collected by ACORN probably won’t vote.  But what will happen?

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From Fox News

With just 48 hours to go before Election Day, both camps for John McCain and Barack Obama are predicting victory but also positioning themselves for a long night on Tuesday by noting the polls are tight and potentially fraudulent voter registration will be closely monitored.

The latest Investor’s Business Daily-TechnoMetrica poll out Sunday showed the race with just a 2-point spread, with Obama at 46.7 percent, McCain with 44.6 percent and 8.7 percent of the 844 likely voters still undecided.

McCain’s team points to several other polls showing the race tightening as the nation comes into the home stretch this election season. Campaign manager Rick Davis told “FOX News Sunday” not to discount McCain, who was the underdog in the primaries and came roaring back. He and other McCain surrogates predicted the same will happen on Tuesday.

Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., speaks during a
AP Photo/Terry Gilliam

“Look, this election is moving very quickly. There is no doubt that John McCain is increasing his margins in almost every state in the country right now. And I think that what we’re in for is a slam-bang finish. I mean, it’s going to be wild. I think that we are able to close this campaign,” Davis said.

“Johns a closer, he always has been,” former McCain rival and Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson said on NBC’s “Meet the Press.” “He’s been given up for dead — literally and politically. People have been wrong about him before. He’s in his element now. And he’s feeling good about it. So I would not count him out in any stretch of the imagination. I think the election is yet to be decided.”

But with the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll showing McCain down by 11 points and RealClearPolitics averages dating back 10 days or more, Davis began cherry-picking which polls are accurate.

Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., ... 
Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., and his wife Cindy McCain addresses while walking into a rally at the John Long Center on the campus of the University of Scranton, Sunday afternoon, Nov. 2, in Scranton, Pa.(AP Photo/Jimmy May)

The Gallup poll is the most “out of whack with the rest of the country,” he said. “The bottom line is every legitimate poll that has the structure of this race in where the country has been historically has this race closing. It has John McCain on the uptick. It has Barack Obama on the downtick.”

As for the Obama camp, chief strategist David Axelrod told ABC’s “This Week” that the McCain camp is deluding itself into thinking he can stage an historic comeback.

“Well, I mean, I think that he needs to spin some sort of interpretation to keep his troops up. And I understand that. That’s — you know, when you’re at the end of the campaign and things are tilting against you, that’s what you do. I don’t think any objective look at the polls would suggest that,” Axelrod said.

But Axelrod said he is worried about potential new voters not going to the polls because they believe Obama has it wrapped up. But the camp is still celebrating strong early voting numbers, and touting the millions of new voters Obama is bringing to the polls — young people, African Americans and Hispanics who may have never voted before. 

Campaign manager David Plouffe said the Obama team expects at least 130 million voters this election, particularly from states where Democratic registration has increased this year. Plouffe added that Obama is not running a national campaign, he’s focused only on 16 states.

Obama’s chief aide also discounted Davis’ claim that McCain is closing the gap in Pennsylvania, which John Kerry won in 2004; and in Colorado and other states President Bush won in 2004 but are leaning Democratic this year.

“We think we have a decisive edge right now. So John McCain would have to win Election Day by a huge margin to make up those deficits,” Plouffe told “FOX News Sunday.” 

“We do not see the tightening in Pennsylvania that Rick talked about. We’ve campaigned hard in Pennsylvania. We’ve got a great organization. We have 1.2 million more Democrats registered than Republicans. … All of the prime takeaway targets that we’ve been working on for so long we think are in good shape heading to the election. But obviously, we need great turnout on Tuesday,” he continued.

Both sides are also talking about criticism about the voter registration process and how so many millions more people are on the rolls. Plouffe said that any fraud would be investigated, but obvious fraudulent registrants won’t make it into the booth.

“These people aren’t going to vote on Election Day. Mickey Mouse, Tony Roma, are not going to vote,” he said.

But Davis said if there is anything to be concerned about on Election Day, “it’s the manipulation of these voter rolls before the election that’s caused so many problems.”

“We’re not going to stand for it. We think it’s unfortunate. We think it’s sad that they would take this kind of action right before the eve of an election,” he said.

FOX News’ Shannon Bream contributed to this report.