With less than three weeks to go, CNN’s latest poll of polls shows Sen. McCain trailing Sen. Obama by 8 points nationwide — a mid-October deficit that only one presidential hopeful has overcome to win the White House in the last 50 years: Ronald Reagan.
(Oct. 16) – Sen. John McCain likes to say he enjoys being the underdog. After all, this is the relentless candidate who somehow managed to capture his party’s nomination after the political world left him for dead in the summer of 2007.
But even as he spends the campaign homestretch reminding wary Republicans of his miraculous comeback last year, history suggests it may simply be too late.
Both publicly and privately of course, neither the candidates nor their aides are ready to say the race is over.
On Thursday morning, Sen. Barack Obama warned supporters not to get “cocky,” while a few hours later McCain pledged to Pennsylvania voters he would erase Obama’s lead by Election Day.
But with less than three weeks to go, CNN’s latest poll of polls shows McCain trailing Obama by 8 points nationwide — a mid-October deficit that only one presidential hopeful has overcome to win the White House in the last 50 years.
In the 1980 presidential election, former California Gov. Ronald Reagan trailed President Jimmy Carter by 8 points in a late October Gallup poll. A mere 10 days after that survey was conducted, Reagan defeated the incumbent president by nearly 3 percentage points, sealing one of the biggest turnarounds in the history of American presidential politics.
But if 2008 is at all like 1980, it’s Obama who is Ronald Reagan, not McCain.
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