Zogby October 18: Obama 48%; McCain 44%

UTICA, New York – The race for President remains at equilibrium, 12 days into the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll, which shows Democrat Barack Obama winning 48.3% support, compared to 44.4% for Republican John McCain.

US Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama greets supporters ... 
Front runner US Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama greets supporters during a rally at Roanoke Convention Center in Roanoke, Virginia. Obama’s presidential campaign has accused rival John McCain of using a false crusade against voter fraud to suppress legitimate votes in a growing spat over ballots ahead of the November 4 poll.(AFP/Emmanuel Dunand)

Seven-point-three percent of the likely voters surveyed said they remain undecided.

Obama lost four-tenths of a point from yesterday’s report, while McCain gained six-tenths of a point. It was the second consecutive day in which Obama’s numbers slipped and McCain’s numbers increased.

Despite two presidential debates and a continuing worldwide financial markets meltdown that occurred and intensified during the polling over the past two weeks, support for the candidates has remained remarkably stable. Obama has increased his support just 0.6 points, while McCain’s support has slipped 0.9 points since Oct. 6.

Right now, Obama’s 3.9-point advantage over McCain is about in the middle of the range we have seen over the past 12 days of this report – Obama has led by as little as 1.9 points and by as much as 6.2 points.

Republican presidential nominee John McCain holds a rally in ... 
Republican presidential nominee John McCain holds a rally in Melbourne, Florida, on October 17. Barack Obama’s campaign accused rival McCain of using a false crusade against voter fraud to suppress legitimate votes Friday as battles over who ought to be able to cast a ballot in the November 4 election intensified.(AFP/Getty Images/Chip Somodevilla)

This three-day rolling average of polling now includes nearly two complete 24-hour cycles conducted after the final debate on Wednesday, but the debate appears to have had only a little affect on likely voters nationwide. McCain has benefited more than Obama.                

The tracking poll includes 1,209 likely voters across the country who were surveyed between Oct. 15-17, 2008, at the rate of about 400 per day. The survey carries a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.

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http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1596

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